Monday, April 10, 2023


 It is unbelievably stupid but I guess its the only War that we have. I just liked the expression, "gently used" MIG 29s. One simply does not run across that term all that often outside a used car dealer's lot.

The other thing of course is that POLAND is provoking a war it cannot win either against Russia. They really need to stop poking the bear. It isn't what is was but is overwhelmingly lethal and there is no Western Power to bail them out this time. The Armies of the West simply are no more. They're gone and long gone and nobody in Eastern Europe has come close to recreating the Armies that we grew up 70 years ago.

“They are in the last years of their functioning but they are in good working condition,” President Andrzej Duda said.

That’s good news for Ukraine, whose tiny air force has been battered in more than a year of fighting. At the start of the war in February of 2022, Kyiv was believed to possess slightly fewer than 100 fighter jets, including about 70 somewhat modern MiG-29s and Su-27 Flankers, and around two dozen older ground-attack jets.

More than half of Ukraine’s fighters have been lost in the war. A dozen gently used Fulcrums won’t change the course of the war but they’re desperately needed nonetheless.

Poland could probably afford to give up its entire fleet of aging Fulcrums, since the country is rapidly upgrading its air force with FA-50 light attack jets from South Korea and has 32 fifth-generation F-35 Lightning II stealth strike fighters on order. Those are coming on top of the 48 American-made F-16C and -D models currently flown by the Siły Powietrzne.

I must add that Poland — and there’s no better way to put this — absolutely rocks.

Aside from the United States, Poland is right now the only major NATO power* that’s serious about national defense and the very real risk posed by Vladimir Putin’s murderous revanchism.

NATO has a defense spending target of 4% of each nation’s GDP. Most spend maybe half that, including Poland until recent years. Right now, Poland is doubling the size of its army to 300,000 men out of a population of 37 million. The German Bundeswehr has fewer than 185,000 active troops and a reserve so tiny it’s barely worthy of the name. That’s despite Germany having more than twice Poland’s population and a higher per capita income.

Germany talks about maybe hitting the 2% target… someday. Currently, Berlin spends an anemic 1.4% of GDP on defense, and they don’t spend it very well. Readiness in the German armed forces is considered virtually nonexistent.

Poland will soon have Europe’s largest tank force (except for Russia), including 1,000 South Korean K2 Black Panthers and 250 American-made M1 Abrams with plenty of upgrades. The K2, by the way, might be the toughest main battle tank made anywhere in the world, and with a price tag to match.

It’s heartening to see the Poles getting themselves so prepared. The country suffered more than four decades under Moscow’s heel during the Cold War; before that, it lost about one-fifth of its people to war, privation, and Nazi death camps during World War II. Poland’s brief independence between the wars only came after more than a century of partition between the Austrian, German, and Russian empires.

Is it any wonder Poland is so serious, not only about its own defense, but helping prevent Russia from taking all of Ukraine — right up to their own border?

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boron said...

why have we been poking the bear for the past 10 or so years?
is it true that we've been establishing bio labs in the Ukraine?
not that I'm pro-Russian, but I can understand Valdimir Valdimirovich' desire for a (semi-demilitarized) buffer zone, watching closely/anxiously as NATO's been expanding eastwards over time.

SCOTTtheBADGER said...

Poland is completely Badger Approved!

Dan said...

I am certain that Poland cannot conquer Russia. I also am pretty certain that Russia at this point could not conquer Poland. Putin has pretty much "shot the wad" for Russia's military capabilities trying to subdue Ukraine. Without their nuclear weapons Russia is barely a second class country with maybe a second class military. NOT the threat they were in the 80's. Only a shadow of it's former power. But the US isn't in much better shape either.

HMS Defiant said...

Those of us comfortable in western decadence don't see what Russia is effortlessly doing as it grows the only functioning army on the continent. They still have a deep reservoir of military aged in fighting trim young men and nobody poncing about saying that girls can be just as good at artillerymen. Yeah, they are burning hardware, capital and men but they're the only ones on the continent that can do it. All of Germany can not put 3000 troops into a fight. The men aren't there, the material isn't there. Ukraine is a proxy war that is harvesting the last remnants of the 70 year Cold War. Once the depots are empty there is nothing at all left. Russia's production lines are all still place and turning out revenue for the state, plus weapons. We and nobody in Europe can do that.

Anonymous said...

While it is understandable that Poland is leery of the Russians, since they had recent experience living under The Bear's control. But they should go back a little further in history and realize that they are just as vulnerable to the NATO countries, who will happily sacrifice Poland. Poland needs to learn that the only people they can depend upon are Poles, and be very cautious about carrying the water for the rest of EUrope.

Anonymous said...

give them some credit, they gave away the russian migs.

HMS Defiant said...

they don't know history which is tragic. the poles haven't learned that countries don't have friends. They have interests. the sejm were always a wonder. We cannot pass even a single law without unanimity. a hard word to spell half blind but imbecility also comes to mind. I think it's too bad that the Poles haven't learned that their political class has not changed an iota since Neville Chamberlain was their only guarantor. The new powers rise slowly. Look at how long it took us to deal with Mexico a hundred years ago.

Milley isn't a single aberration. He is the standard bearer for the entire US military officer corps. They are now ALL LIKE HIM.

Anonymous said...

Like Rome, we know longer can pull up legion after legion and arm them. Neither can Russia. Don't think China can either with their demographics.
I suspect the Skynet Smiles line by the Instapundit will be reality before too long. It will impoverish everyone to have high tech robotic/drone warfare.
Humans, almost too dumb to live.