I find it amusing to watch as all of NATO minus the United States is fighting a proxy war against a tiny splinter of the Red Army in Ukraine and has basically run out of ammunition, missiles, tanks, fighting vehicles and men. And all that without actually engaging in combat against the Russians. The Russians must be laughing themselves to death at the idea of going up against all of NATO minus the United States. It is shades of NATO's minus the United States, war against the rump state of Libya. They ran out of missiles and bombs and had to come crawling to US to resupply them.
Young Americans are not signing up for the U.S. military and certainly not for any of the NATO countries. They don't want to find themselves standing under an open sky defenseless while a rain of variable time fuzed artillery starts to bloom over their heads and that is what it will come down to.
Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, NATO's founding document, says that any attack on a NATO member in Europe or North America “shall be considered an attack against them all.” That was written back when it was like-minded western democracies and the enemy was the Soviet Union and the Warsaw Pact. Now NATO contains a number of former members of the Warsaw Pact and has encroached right up to the Russian border despite denying that it ever would. In short, NATO lied. The young generation don't see any reason to fight and no reason at all to fight within a 'woke' pseudo-military structure like all of the NATO militaries today.
This is roughly what NATO will look like if Turkey allows Sweden to join. If Sweden does join it may well be at the expense of losing Turkey, a country which is just as autocratic and authoritarian as any other NATO member but which enjoys excellent relations with Russia from whom it bought its latest air defense systems.
A couple of observations about that map:
1. Isn't it remarkable how much Ukraine resembles what Ribbentrop called the dagger aimed at Germany's heart back before West sold out Czechoslovakia to the Germans?
2. I don't really think NATO would actually come to the defense of Hungary because the woke West hates Orban and by extension, Hungarians.
3. Look at the holes in NATO where people are not happy with NATO membership:
Ireland, Serbia, Byelorussia, Finland, Sweden, Moldova. It's hard to believe that the various non-Serb republics of former Yugoslavia would send more than a tank platoon to any NATO war since they would leave the rest as home guard against a Serbian attack. Ditto Greece with regard to Turkey.
I read a Foreign Affairs journal article the other day that talked up what Putin blew by coming over all territorial aggrandizement. As I read the article I couldn't help but wonder in just what reality did the author live since it bears no resemblance at all to the real state of the world. Russia isn't the one on the ropes despite what you may see, hear and read in the main stream media. They have engaged 100% of NATO with what amounts to less than a tithe of their military and they're not engaging in Strategic Warfare. You will notice if and when they do. I mean seriously, all they have to do is let the Ukrainian reactors go into the red and melt down and western Europe loses in perpetuity. Remember, the wind favors the east.
From, German geography
"Germany lies in the prevailing wind zone called the westerlies in the middle latitudes. The westerlies are wind currents that come from the west and blow into the east. On the animated map created by NASA, you can see that there are both winds coming from the east and the west. On the east side of Germany, the wind currents are coming from the Caucasus region and blow upwards through Poland and the Czech Republic into Germany. On the west, winds start from the Mediterranean Sea, go through France then into Germany. Both the eastern winds and the western winds meet up at the northern tip of Germany where they speed up at the northern Atlantic and the Baltic Sea. These winds then pass the United Kingdom and create a swirl not so far away from Iceland."
The war in Ukraine will or has consumed every material of modern warfare available in Western Europe except fighter aircraft and those have gone on the table now too as Poland sends some clapped out old Migs to Ukraine and hopes to replace them with cheap western modern fighter planes. NATO is truly that balloon picture it has resembled since the end of the Cold War. One tiny prick and it will burst.
How is it that the American press keeps telling us that Putin is dying of some unmentionable disease and ignoring the quite obvious evidence of the president's mental failings and feeble-mindedness? I watched video yesterday of Putin visiting a helicopter factory and he seemed fine to my eyes. Joe on the other hand can't walk up stairs unaided and wanders off whenever his handlers let go of him.
The Russians never shut down any of their production lines for weapon procurement while the West has shuttered all of our except the F35 and various submarines There are no more Tomahawk cruise missiles coming off the line. Same thing for bombs and artillery. There are no more M1 Abrams tanks or M2 and M3 Bradley fighting vehicles. There are no more F22 Raptors, A10 Warthogs or FA-18s. There may be more F15s and F16s out there but we are incapable of building replacement aircraft to replace anything like the loss rate if they are engaged by modern air defense systems capably handled.
We certainly hope that the idiots running NATO and the US military can refrain from pretending that they are a match for Russia. It will be very ugly if they decide they can "win" a war against Russia and the worst way to lose to Russia is to incrementally engage in a war until one day it is a full fledged shooting war.