Has anyone worked out why we are constantly bombarded with reasons and rationals for treating China as an existential enemy against whom we must build vast new fleets of ships and killer aircraft and push every kind of trade sanction and embargo against them because..... ? I see it all the time at various former naval/army person blogs and it is always in the alt media but I have never seen any justification for it or any sign that even a remarkably stupid idiot would ever think that China would gain any economic or military advantage by attacking its neighbors. The whole Taiwan flap is just a hook to hang sending hundreds of billions of dollars to the big 3 arms dealers Defense Contractors. It's all a scam.
Aren't you getting tired of it? We have entered the Snake Free Age and we should lean into it and enjoy it and build some better stuff now that we know that all the current stuff is so much junk. I say that advisedly because there will always be some twit who leaps to his feet and shouts Iran War, yeeeeehaaaaaa! He doesn't even realize that he's making the point. No vast armies clashed and no great naval battles happened and no great air armada destroyed everything beneath them. It's the 21st Century and we didn't have to do any of that old 20th century crap.
We really should know that the brightest men are working on the nuts and bolts of waging combat operations in the age of the fully sacrificial drone fleet that numbers in the hundreds of thousands. Somebody needs to understand that trying to spoof an infinite resource is just a waste of time, money and effort and that the real work is in finding ways to defend against drones in all their shapes and guises and what that impact will be on how we lay out defensive measures against an expendable attacker that can carry a high explosive, shaped charge, explosively formed penetrator, a chemical warhead or fun bioligicals.*
In other words, the perimeter is nearly infinite, the scope unbelievable and there is no rear area and never will be again. How does that affect logistics and little things like defending ammo plants, railroad switches, power generation and distribution networks, communications, mass food storage, POL facilities, concentrations of supply, force and men?
The sad thing is that we KNOW that it is being studied, analyzed and planned by the same people behind our NASA moon mission which fully justifies crappy $4,000,000,000 single use rocket using 50 year old engines to launch dicey hardware 250,000 miles using the very best DEI culture money can buy. It is the same people that sold the DOD on the idea of Just-in-Time logistical support and resource allocation for a war fighting force that is in the process of waging war. The expectation was that, like all the satellites, the weapons and ammo would show up on time no matter what.
I'm gonna join that French idiot Georges Clemenceau from long ago and simply state, "War is too important to be left to the generals." Just about everybody who is anybody in the Pentagon and at every single Combatant Command is welded to the weapons and tactics and strategy that we have today. This is not a Billy Mitchell or Douhet moment, this is 100x worse.
This is the revolution in military affairs that we started talking about 40 years ago and got all wrong. This is a moment as fundamental to future warfare as the moment we started building and prioritizing aircraft carriers over battleships. What people forget though is that we didn't just prioritize the carrier we revolutionized our naval tactics and strategy and we never ever forgot that the ONLY way it would work was if it was applied en masse. That had been the goal of the battleship admirals from the Age of Sail but with the carriers it took one more new turn, it required a lot of them right now and it turns out, done properly, carriers were very easy and cheap to build, man and equip, at least compared to battleships.
I used to play the opposition to the SEALs back in the 90s when we started fielding our mobile units with an incredible Thermal Imaging System. Everyone now knows that there is really nothing scary at all about truly dangerous heavily armed men in the night if you can see them clearly a mile away and they don't know it, because with TIS, every human stands out from the background like he's waving a magnesium flare and screaming Banzai!
And that is the most important and most undone thing as I see it. Our planners keep acting as if our enemies are stone age savages and they all believe to the bottom of their black little souls that once they've identified shortfalls in personnel, equipment and tactics that 'somebody' else is addressing it and buying the solutions and fielding them with the requisite training and you know what? That doesn't happen. There are existing contracts and it takes years to go through the DoD 5000 Acquisition Process and get a new contract on the street and even then, you are dead lucky to get a Program Manager who understands what the end product must be and how to get there in meaningful time. A perfect weapon 22 years late is of zero value.
People have got to understand that Perfect is the Enemy of Good Enough and that sometimes, all the snakes are dead and it's time to put down the snake killer and move on to the next thing.
It is time for our Department of War to announce a series of X prizes and the first one of those has to be $1,000,000,000 for the first infinite repeater or drone killer laser that works in the field using standard generators for mobile applications. It is time to do what America does best and put some money in play for independents to shoot for and get our garage entrepreneurs busy making stuff that reliably kills drones at extended ranges. Obviously, it needs an acquisition and targeting system to pair with the weapon.
And can we please stop beating up on poor China? Other than stealing 100% of our IP and flooding us with the results of their biowarfare experiments in labs paid for by US, what have they ever done to anybody that matters? OK, and forgetting that they keep smuggling extremely deadly and destructive biologicals into the USA, what have they ever done to US?
*Remember all the fatheads in academe that postured and piffled about our inability to sort the nuclear bomb carrying reentry vehicles from the decoys and how we could never build a missile defense that could ever work because the 'decoy' problem was too tough to solve? Yeah, they all went on to root for LCS and scrapped 100% of our MCM capability. Those guys never quite wrapped their heads around the fact that back then both sides had over 70,000 nuclear warheads and there was no need to postulate that somebody would save a buck or two by substituting decoys for nukes, but those losers carried on like they killed Star Wars with the "Decoy Problem" of their own invention. If you have the room for 'decoys, just stuff some more warheads in there. The targeting issue remains but the end result for any failed intercepts is going to be a nuclear explosion.
6 comments:
I quite like this post.
China is indeed an enemy, but that doesn't mean we need armies, navies, etc.
I recommend y'all read Unrestricted Warfare by Qiao Liang and Wang Xiangsui.
Armies and navies and Air Farces won't help a bit.
China has been our opponent ever since Mao seized power. And they have been waging an asymmetrical war against the US for decades. Their goal....the conquest and subjugation of the west, starting with the US. What to do about this war is debatable, the fact that it is real is not. As for Taiwan....Beijing has never NOT wanted to conquer it. They just haven't been willing to pay the price. Once the CCP feels they can succeed in taking Taiwan at an appropriate cost they will do so. China may be more capitalistic economically than the USSR was but they are still run by communists. And world hegemony is and has always been the goal of communism.
Viz Anon, I downloaded and did a quick read through of "Unrestricted Warfare" and I agree, they are covering the bases pretty well. The instant problem I had with them was that they are, to all appearances, CIA or DIA authors trying to shape the marketplace of presumptive war. I've edited a number of technical papers written by Chinese students here and they write very well. On the other hand, reading the work of Qiao and Wang, I don't see the didacticism I would expect from two political officers of the PLAAF who would be writing for the most didactic military force on the planet. I think what they were trying to convey was a primer on 5th generation war.
China is no enemy of ours and I can prove it. First, we invited them into the WTO with no restrictions. Second we offshored almost 100% of our manufacturing capability to them including hi-tech things like Apple phones, computers, and all the rest. Third, we sold them the most advanced milling machine technology in the world even though it was what we used ourselves to make quiet submarine propellers. Does that sound like behavior of enemies?
China does not posses one tenth of what it would take to cross the open sea and take Taiwan. Here's a hint, WE COULD NOT DO IT TODAY either. China is patient and you see it every time the leader lives and dies and nothing really changes. It is like the Empire, an ever-living oligarchy and as long as the top is happy, everybody that matters is happy. Why exactly would they waste everything and ruin it all to take control of some shitty island that they will get in the fullness of time? Their propaganda has basically won the battle and the majority of the people on Formosa don't really care all that much and you know how you know? They didn't move to Canada. Every single one that did care, moved out or got an exit passport so THEY DON'T CARE.
China is still the leading light among civilized nations for expressing a total and convincing lack of any concern or care for anybody but themself and maybe their family.
You cannot name a single convincing rational target for them to focus their efforts on in some ability to WIN. Thanks to the idiotic UN and liberals we have the law of the sea which gave any coastal power an EEZ it could claim out to 200 miles from any spec of land it claimed and China roared in their with a vengeance and did it the way we used to with our SeaBee Battalions. By their lights, they were playing fair but it is always important to keep in mind that the Chinese do not understand the concept of fair. It is a meaningless word and perhaps a derogatory one.
They are some of the most hard headed rational realists left. The idiotica suggest that China ought to just cross the Amur and take whatever it wants but they recognize another hard headed and rational power and they know that Russia would not hesitate 2 seconds to nuke them. That is why they've tripled their nuclear arsenal.
China is not run by communists and it never was. The closest they came was probably Sun Yat Sen but even he was no communist. China is run by the most ruthless people you will ever meet. They only care about power and holding it. They don't care about anything else. They never have.
People might mistake and think that they want Thailand or Vietnam but that is wrong. They are like Russia to some extent. Leave them and the ethnic Chinese alone and they will pretty much just fuck with your trade, banks, water rights, fish, and anything extractable from the bottom of the sea. In other words, they sound familiar........
Has anyone worked out why we are constantly bombarded with reasons and rationals for treating China as an existential enemy...
Because you can't justify buying F-35 jets by complaining about North Korea. I was working at the Pentagon when they suddenly shifted justifying new weapons from Nork to China. The change was instant with no breathing room and no one ever going back to cancel all the stuff we bought for North Korea. Nor can you justify an expanding Navy complaining about Russia. You need China for that.
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