SUDDENLY IT ALL TURNED TO .....

 I wonder what is really going on in the Ukraine Fights to the Death™ business because it looks less and less like the Free World helping out the losers in a bad war between the fascists and the Russians and looks more like the Free World took the wrong turn somewhere along the way. This sort of thing convinces me of the insincerity of certain heretofore responsible seeming writers:

People have friends, countries have interests. I could and will tell you what I think is happening but it sounds so cynical I'm afraid that I'm the one with the bent perspective on reality. I think the world has once again lost sight of 'ruler credibility' and it is going to hurt this time as much as it has in the past.

There are two things you can honestly say about the war in Ukraine and that nobody would disagree with either statement. In the first, any temporary ceasefire will be used by all of the EU to rearm and strengthen Ukraine so it will be better positioned when it opens up the conflict again and second, that Russia fully understands that this is the case and sees no reason to go along with this puerile stupid reason to have any kind of temporary ceasefire.

More to the point, the writers above increasingly seem to be coming down in full support of providing long range weapons to Ukraine without any prior restraints on their use in the SMO. They all accept that Ukraine should and must have the capability to attack any targets anywhere in Russia. I believe that they think that their thinking in this regard is simply an outgrowth of every other Proxy War fought in the past but they are missing the key difference in Proxy War vs Actual full War. 

If the First World sells weapons to a First World belligerent that it then uses on another First World belligerent then there really is zero difference between all participating First World countries engaging in War as co-belligerents. It is very much akin to unrestricted U-boat warfare loosening the last fragile bonds keeping America out of the War against Germany and everyone on both sides knew it. Yes, the US was by definition a co-belligerent against the Reich long before it declared war on the United States after Pearl Harbor.

If the EU continues with the notion that the Russians will never dare attack them because "OTAN" then where does that leave them when Russia retaliates against them for using Ukraine to attack Russia? There is right now not enough military might left in Europe to even begin to open a Second Front on Russia in retaliation and you have to ask yourself, OK, Article 5 is now in effect and an attack on one/or all of them by Russia means retaliation....... Well you sold the bulk of your long range artillery and missiles to Ukraine, what are you going to use to attack Russia now? More than that though,

You now look at the various Front Line Countries in OTAN and you pitch that you are going to launch your assault waves, your bombers, your meat attacks through,

a) Finland

b) Latvia

c) Estonia

d) Lithuania

e) Poland

 

To be honest, the last two front lines states really only share a land border with Königsberg which is known today as Kaliningrad and which is very much a part of Russia in much the same way that all of what was once Prussia except it's old capital city are a part of Poland. History in Europe is very messy. You really don't want to see nationalism break out there ever again but given the way everyone over there is doing the whole Wiemar thing, it is just a matter of time now.

I don't really understand the simple minds that think that a non-powerful State can force others to do its will particularly when what it wants flies in the face of reason and history. Israel now knows at its core that it can never have an amicable neighbor in Gaza as long as Hamas rules there just as the people in Europe finally figured out that the only way to keep the Germans down was to permanently dismember it and keep the USA involved in keeping Germany demilitarized. There can be no meaningful ceasefire. Guess what?

I might sit down and read Barbara Tuchman's Guns of August once more. We are coming up on that month again and one of the interesting distinctions in her work is that she laid out the step by step stupid irrational imbecilic behavior of the various European rulers and monarchs in leading the whole of Civilization into the Dark. We can literally watch this happening again in real time.

I see that France has declared it is accepting asylum applications from all 2 million Palestinian terrorists living in Gaza which means that every single EU member is accepting all 2 million Palestinian terrorists as fresh new citizens and it won't take them more than 4 to 8 years to learn what every single Arab country learned over the last 60 years, Palestinians are irredeemably and only terrorists. You can look at their history and behavior in Jordan, Lebanon, Syria, Egypt, Kuwait, and Libya to see what they really are. There is a reason that the border wall between Egypt and Gaza is of unrivaled height and severity.