I CAN SEE IT FROM HERE

It is easy to sense the allure of the autonomous drone fleets that will sail the world's oceans in the future to waylay the enemies of the cyber state but I don't expect to see them coming down the ways soon. 

The cybernautical has almost as rich a history with science and fantasy as the flying car and both are made of the same skillfully woven slush. The admiral in the Pentagon is snagged instantly by the scandalous savings that accrue to any fleet operator that doesn't actually have to recruit, train and pay sailors and retired sailors enormous amounts of money that the State no longer commands. It's a dream they all share.

The Fleet commander in his sun dappled headquarters at Makalapa or wherever his Supreme counterpart hangs his hat is happy to rejoice in operating fleets that don't have DUIs, normal hetersexual relations between men and women sharing quarters on small ships far out at sea and that never suffer from 'accidental' fires that seem to burn down the warship of the day whenever the crew isn't paying attention and unmindfully steering them into the paths of innocent merchant shipping. A responsive and nimble asset that he can command without fear of contradiction.

The Logistics and Maintenance commanders are Logistics and maintenance types and nobody really cares what they think about it.

I have never really seen the allure of the minimally manned warship or the totally unmanned one for that matter. Never mind that they simply don't work and hopefully never will, just think about what they imply for the future of the Navy that owns/operates them. What Navy? Contrary to popular opinion, admirals do not spring fully formed from the loins of the CNO. Admirals are/were typically made by introducing them to the sea and then giving them increasingly complex things to do, men to do it with and goals that were almost deliberately set to be unobtainable without a good deal of lying, cheating and chicanery. Where will the admirals come from to guide these ships to their rendezvous with destiny?

There is no need for division officers since there are no divisions of men. There is no need for department heads since there are no divisions. There is no need for Executive Officers since there is no berthing areas or heads that need continual inspections to keep them clean and wholesome because there are no men and there is no need for the ultimate goal of the navy officer, a Commanding Officer because they simply cannot exist in such a vacuum.

And then we come to the real reason they cannot be and that boils down to the simple fact that nobody trusts them. Admirals and most officers have a horror about arming sailors that goes way back. Sailors are really trained to use rifles and pistols and it shows whenever someone gives them one. Nobody would believe the sheer number of accidental discharges that sailors are behind. (Usually behind but sometimes they get in front of them too.) They trust machines slightly less than sailors with guns.

The 'autonomous warship' will need continuous monitoring 24 hours a day and it will go on forever. I saw where the Navy seemed to be heading with this when a Pacific Fleet 05 serving as the Mine Countermeasures Task Group Chief of Staff ashore issued orders that the two COs in the little Task Group were not to so much as change course or think about putting anything over the side until they had received his permission to do so. It's possible he was a little stressed because one of the ships had just passed its umbilical connected little robot through the ship's propellers and things were ugly and one of the small boats was drifting away because it had not been tied up properly and the other ship needed to get underway and rescue the drifting boat and perhaps effect a bit of a tow, don't you know. 

Honestly, it was both one of the funniest and saddest moments to be sitting there in the bunker next to him and his idiot staffers as this went on and on. On the other hand, I sort of got a taste of this mindset when I went aboard one of our LCS in San Diego and the Duty Officer met me and I found that she was carrying 4 different radios on her belt so that her permission could be obtained immediately by any crewman considering doing anything at all out of the ordinary.

Initiative was not so much squelched, but beaten to death. A robot fleet without a single guiding thought as it operates in the narrow seas or the shipping lanes around Singapore or Japan is going to be an absolute nightmare for somebody and you have to wonder, when it goes completely wrong who is going to be held accountable? Yeah, I know that has become a foreign and disdained concept but it still matters.

Are they going to court martial the supervisor, the guy that wrote the code, the guy that integrated the code, the technician that wired it up backwards or upside down or the contractor who accidentally painted the sensor and blinded it? You know in the end they're going to blame the maintenance and the contractor. On a bright note, that's what they're going to spend every one of those saved sailor salaries on contract maintenance and spares that will probably only exist in modules the size of gas turbines for easy trouble shooting and replacement. 

It's the new Navy way. You can always check out how well it works by looking closely at the anti-shipping and the anti-air and the anti-submarine and mine countermeasures modules they installed on all the Little Crappy Ships over the last 20 years. 

And then there are the guys that are going to see a free ammo dump, technology bonanza and windfall out swanning around and they're going to pirate it right off the bat. I mean, do you really think the security on these things will be anywhere near as good and fiendishly efficient as the security at the Louvre? Come on...